Two teams with genuine ambitions of going deep into the UEFA Europa League (UEL) are set to meet in the last 16, as Roma and Athletic Bilbao prepare to lock horns in a thrilling two-legged affair. The first leg takes place this week in Rome, where the hosts will be full of confidence following a superb run of form that has seen them win ten of their last eleven competitive home matches (D1).
Roma’s latest victory came over Como at the weekend, securing a 2-1 win that has further fuelled their momentum. Their home form in Europe has been particularly impressive, with the Serie A side winning their last four UEL matches at the Stadio Olimpico, scoring a total of nine goals. These performances will give Roma the belief they can continue their push in this competition, especially after drawing 1-1 with Bilbao earlier in the season during the group stage.
In contrast, Bilbao’s confidence has taken a hit following a 1-0 loss to Atletico Madrid, which ended their six-match unbeaten streak in all competitions (W3, D3). However, the Basque side will draw strength from their solid UEL form, where they’ve won six of their last seven matches (L1). Their attacking prowess has been a key factor, with Bilbao scoring 15 goals in this season’s Europa League from an expected goals (xG) total of 10.4, the largest overperformance in the competition. If they are to succeed in Rome, their attacking efficiency will be critical, particularly as they look to break a four-match winless streak on the road (D2, L2).
Key players to keep an eye on include Roma’s Artem Dovbyk, who has been in excellent goalscoring form, finding the net both at the weekend and in the previous encounter with Bilbao. On the other hand, Bilbao’s Oihan Sancet will be a key figure for the visitors. The midfield dynamo has netted 13 goals this season, with his recent away form showing a particular knack for scoring after the break, having scored his last four goals on the road in the second half.
Roma’s remarkable record at home, having failed to score in just two of their 20 competitive fixtures this season, adds another layer of pressure on Bilbao. The visitors will need to bring their best game if they are to upset the odds and keep their European campaign alive.
