Roma’s impressive 19-game unbeaten run in Serie A (W14, D5) came to a crashing halt on Monday, falling 2-1 to Atalanta in a result that has thrown the race for the UEFA Champions League into disarray. With just one point separating them from the coveted fourth spot, the Giallorossi now find themselves in a precarious position—one where defeat to AC Milan could see them tumble out of European qualification contention entirely.
That’s far from an implausible outcome, as Roma’s record against Milan in recent years makes for grim reading. The capital side hasn’t tasted league victory over the Rossoneri since October 2019, enduring a ten-game winless streak (D4, L6). However, if there’s one place they’ll believe in ending that drought, it’s the Stadio Olimpico. Roma are unbeaten in their last 11 Serie A home games (W9, D2), although their recent victories have all been by slender 1-0 margins—suggesting another cagey contest could be in store.
Milan, meanwhile, arrive wounded after a disappointing 1-0 loss to Bologna in the Coppa Italia final at the very same venue. That result dented their hopes of continental football, with the Rossoneri now two points shy of the top seven. Even seventh place might not be enough if Bologna fail to finish in the top six—adding urgency to every remaining league fixture.
Still, Milan shouldn’t be counted out just yet. Sérgio Conceição’s men had won four consecutive competitive games prior to Wednesday’s setback and have found recent form on the road with four wins in their last five league away games (L1). That includes three straight away victories, although they’ve struggled against high-ranking opposition, claiming just one away win against teams above them in the standings—and that came at the San Siro against Inter!
Players to Watch:
Roma’s hopes may rest on the shoulders of Artem Dovbyk, who has proven decisive in recent weeks. Each of his last five league goals contributed directly to wins, with four arriving after the 60-minute mark—highlighting his late-game impact. Milan, on the other hand, will look to Rafael Leão, who was on the scoresheet in last season’s 2-1 win at this venue and has seven goal contributions (G2, A5) in 13 matches against Roma.
Hot Stat:
Milan opened the scoring in nine of the last ten league meetings with Roma, including their win in the reverse fixture. Striking first could once again prove crucial in a game where fine margins are likely to separate triumph from disappointment.
