The EuroLeague has released a statement highlighting an unprecedented situation in the tournament’s 25-year history—never before has the final round been this unpredictable. Ahead of the last round, not a single team, out of the top ten, knows its final position heading into the postseason.
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Regardless of how the format has changed over the past quarter-century, there was always at least one team that knew its fate before the last round—until now.
With the standings still wide open, a staggering 256 possible outcomes exist for determining the final playoff placements from 1st to 10th. Crvena zvezda fans are hoping for one specific scenario—one that would send their team directly into the playoffs, skipping the play-in round entirely.
That dream scenario involves Zvezda, Efes, Bayern, Barcelona, and Paris all finishing with the same number of wins. In that case, Zvezda would come out on top in the mini-league between these five teams. Each would have a 4–4 record in head-to-head matchups, but Zvezda would hold the best point differential—by just a single point!
In that scenario, Kalinić and his teammates would have a +7 point differential, Efes +6, and Paris +2. Zvezda would then claim 6th place overall, since overtime points do not count in these tiebreakers.
For this to happen, the following results are needed:
- Paris must beat Alba
- Real Madrid must defeat Partizan
- Bayern must lose to Fenerbahçe
- Efes must lose to Žalgiris
- Barcelona must lose to Virtus
- And, of course, Zvezda must win against Panathinaikos in Athens.
Other scenarios have already been analyzed—some lead to home-court advantage in the play-in, others determine potential playoff paths—but this one remains the most hopeful for Zvezda fans.
